Airspace closures in the Middle East are forcing airlines to fly longer routes, increasing fuel burn and emissions per tonne-kilometre. While total flight volumes may drop, the increased intensity of individual flights complicates emissions forecasting for carriers. These operational shifts create volatility for airlines under the CORSIA framework, particularly those operating in MENA and Southeast Asia. Experts warn that delaying carbon credit procurement due to geopolitical uncertainty could lead to liquidity issues and higher costs as compliance deadlines approach.
