Airlines are facing a massive deficit in eligible carbon credits needed for CORSIA compliance. Current supply is far below the projected demand, a gap that will widen when the scheme becomes mandatory in 2027 and covers most international aviation emissions. Supply is slowly increasing as countries like Rwanda, Tanzania, and Laos issue Letters of Authorisation. Project developers are focusing on clean cooking and energy transitions in Africa and Latin America to fill the void, though pricing remains volatile due to certification risks and intermediary fees.
